private_messaging comments on Bayesian Adjustment Does Not Defeat Existential Risk Charity - Less Wrong
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"Basically" sounds like quite an understatement. It is not just an anthropogenic catastrophe, it's highly-competent-and-dedicated-people-screwing-up-spectacularly-in-a-way-nobody-wants catastrophe. One could naively think that funding more safety conscious efforts can't hurt but this is problematic when the concern with safety is not statistically independent of the unsafety of the approach that's deemed viable or pursued.