Elithrion comments on Bayesian Adjustment Does Not Defeat Existential Risk Charity - Less Wrong

43 Post author: steven0461 17 March 2013 08:50AM

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Comment author: steven0461 16 March 2013 09:36:45PM 5 points [-]

The post discusses the limiting case where astronomical waste has zero importance and the only thing that matters is saving present lives. Extending that to the case where astronomical waste has some finite level of importance based on time discounting seems like a matter of interpolating between full astronomical waste and no astronomical waste.

Comment author: Elithrion 17 March 2013 01:40:12AM *  1 point [-]

While that's true, in many cases (e.g. asteroid detection) the interventions may be worthwhile when astronomical waste has vast importance, but not worthwhile when they have zero. It would be informative to know on which of those sides, for example, an exponential discount rate of 5% falls. Also, discounting additionally reduces the value of future years of present lives, so there are some differences because of that as well.