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pengvado comments on Bayesian Adjustment Does Not Defeat Existential Risk Charity - Less Wrong
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"50:4" in the post refers to "P(V=1|A=100)*1 : P(V=100|A=100)*100", not "EV(A=1) : EV(A=100)". EV(A=1) is irrelevant, since we know that A is in fact 100.
I think this confused me:
I see that. Thanks.