Maybe look at the context of the conversation here? edit: to be specific, you might want to reply to HoldenKarnofsky; after all, the utility of convincing him that he's incorrect in describing it as "Pascal's Mugging" type arguments ought to be huge...

edit2: and if it's not clear, I'm not accusing anyone of anything. Holden said,

On the flip side, I believe that a lot of readers believe that "Pascal's Mugging" type arguments are sufficient to establish that a particular giving opportunity is outstanding

I just linked an example of phenomenon which I think may be the cause of Holden's belief. Feel free to correct him with your brilliant argument that he should simply test if they actually accept Pascal's Mugging by asking them about 3^^^3 utilons.