private_messaging comments on Bayesian Adjustment Does Not Defeat Existential Risk Charity - Less Wrong
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You can randomly accuse people that what they believe constitutes Pascal's mugging, but that doesn't make the accusation a valid argument, unless you show that it's so.
There's a very simple test to see if someone actually accepts Pascal's mugging: Go to them and say "I'll use my godlike hidden powers to increase your utility by 3^^^3 utilons if you hand over to me the complete contents of your bank account."
Don't just claim that something else they believe is the same as Pascal's mugging or I might equally easily claim that someone buying health insurance is a victim of Pascal's mugging.
Maybe look at the context of the conversation here? edit: to be specific, you might want to reply to HoldenKarnofsky; after all, the utility of convincing him that he's incorrect in describing it as "Pascal's Mugging" type arguments ought to be huge...
edit2: and if it's not clear, I'm not accusing anyone of anything. Holden said,
I just linked an example of phenomenon which I think may be the cause of Holden's belief. Feel free to correct him with your brilliant argument that he should simply test if they actually accept Pascal's Mugging by asking them about 3^^^3 utilons.