wedrifid comments on Bayesian Adjustment Does Not Defeat Existential Risk Charity - Less Wrong

43 Post author: steven0461 17 March 2013 08:50AM

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Comment author: wedrifid 17 April 2013 01:36:23PM *  2 points [-]

Who are these mysterious hosts of silly people who believe in Pascal's Mugging, and what are they doing here of all places?

http://lesswrong.com/lw/6w3/the_125000_summer_singularity_challenge/4krk

Not a Pascal's Mugging.

Comment author: private_messaging 17 April 2013 01:47:23PM *  -1 points [-]

Still might be the thing Holden Karnofsky refers to in the following passages:

...

On the flip side, I believe that a lot of readers believe that "Pascal's Mugging" type arguments are sufficient to establish that a particular giving opportunity is outstanding. I don't believe the OP believes this.

...

My current working theory is that proponents of "Pascal's Mugging" type arguments tend to neglect the "flow-through effects" of accomplishing good.

Comment author: wedrifid 17 April 2013 02:04:45PM 0 points [-]

Still might be the thing Holden Karnofsky refers to in the following passages:

And yet remains clearly not the thing that is talked about by either Eliezer or your actual comment.

If it is valuable to make the observation that Holden really isn't referring to what Eliezer assumes he is then by all means make that point instead of the one you made.

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