gwern comments on Test Your Rationality - Less Wrong

39 Post author: RobinHanson 01 March 2009 01:21PM

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Comment author: gwern 02 March 2009 06:22:48PM 2 points [-]

Well, you don't have to use the fake-money ones. Intrade and Betfair have always seemed perfectly serviceable to me, and they're real money prediction markets.

On a related point, fake money could actually be good. There's less motivation to bet what you really truly think, but not wagering real money means you can make trades on just about everything in that market - you aren't so practically or mentally constrained. You're more likely to actually play, or play more.

(Suppose I don't have $500 to spare or would prefer not to risk $500 I do have? Should I not test myself at all?)