gwern comments on Recent updates to gwern.net (2012-2013) - Less Wrong

63 Post author: gwern 18 March 2013 07:54PM

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Comment author: gwern 18 March 2013 03:59:02PM *  22 points [-]

Well, at least 2 of those were for SI, so those would count as a job or work; one has to eat, after all. (Speaking of which, if anyone else wants to hire me for stuff, feel free to contact me.)

But besides that, I think after a while writing/research can be a virtuous circle or autocatalytic. If you look at my repo statistics linked above, you see that I haven't always been writing as much. What seems to happen is that as I write more:

  • I learn more tools

    eg. I learned meta-analysis to answer the burning question of what all the positive & negative n-back studies sum to, but then I was able to use it for iodine; I learned linear models for analyzing MoR reviews but now I can use them in my Touhou material

  • I internalize a habit of noticing interesting questions that flit across my brain

    eg. 2 weeks ago while meditating: 'does more doujin stuff get released when unemployment goes up? Hey! My giant Touhou download could probably answer that!' (One could argue that these questions should probably be ignored and not investigated in depth - to paraphrase Teller, often magic is simply putting in more effort than any sane person would - but nevertheless, this is how things work for me.)

  • if you aren't writing, you'll ignore useful links or quotes; but if you stick them in small asides or footnotes as you notice them, eventually you'll have something bigger.

    I grab things I see on Google Alerts & Scholar, Pubmed, Reddit, Hacker News, my RSS feeds, books I read, and note them somewhere until they finally amount to something. (An on-LW example would be my slowly accreting citations on IQ and economics.)

  • people leave comments, ping me on IRC, send me emails, or leave anonymous messages, all of which can help

    The most recent examples of this come from my most popular page, on Silk Road:

    1. an anonymous message led me to investigate a vendor in depth and ponder the accusation leveled against them; in a month or two I'll write it up and give my opinions and I'll have another short essay to add to my SR page which I would not have had otherwise, and I think there's a <20% chance that in a few years this will pay off and become a very interesting essay.
    2. CMU's Christin, who wrote a paper by scraping SR for many months and giving all sorts of overall statistics, emailed me to point out I was citing inaccurate figures from the first version of his paper. I thanked him for the correction and while I was replying, mentioned I had a hard time believing his paper's claims about the extreme rarity of scams on SR as estimated through buyer feedback. After some back and forth and suggesting specific mechanisms how the estimates could be positively biased, he was able to check his database and confirmed that there was at least one large hole in the scraped data and there was probably a general undersampling of scams; so now I have a more accurate feedback estimate for my SR page (important for estimating risk of ordering) and he said he'll acknowledge me in the/a paper, which is nice.
Comment author: henryaj 19 March 2013 01:55:12PM *  2 points [-]

Nthing the "you are an inspiration" sentiment expressed here. This has reminded me that you should 'always be shipping'; always be doing stuff and making stuff.

What's your working environment like? You mention doing work for SI; is that at their offices or at home? I've been flirting with the idea of working part-time to pursue other projects in my spare time but I'm not sure I could hack being in a home office all day.

(And, if you don't mind me asking, how do you bankroll all this? Do you have a 'day job' per se?)

Comment author: gwern 19 March 2013 04:24:37PM 2 points [-]

There's nothing fancy about it - I work on a laptop at home on an ordinary enough desk. (I couldn't afford to live in the Bay area.) I keep flesh on bone with random things and assignments.

Comment author: bentarm 19 March 2013 06:46:52PM 0 points [-]

(One could argue that these questions should probably be ignored and not investigated in depth - to paraphrase Teller, often magic is simply putting in more effort than any sane person would - but nevertheless, this is how things work for me.)

I can't find a source for this quote (and if it's from a longer interview, I think I'd probably like to read it), possibly because I'm not picking the right words to Google. Do you have a citation?

Comment author: TheOtherDave 19 March 2013 08:36:22PM 8 points [-]

Googling "teller magic sane" turned up this interview including the quote:

You will be fooled by a trick if it involves more time, money and practice than you (or any other sane onlooker) would be willing to invest.

Comment author: bentarm 24 March 2013 07:59:43PM 0 points [-]

Thanks, I was not trying the right combination of keywords.

Comment author: ESRogs 23 March 2013 04:36:44PM 4 points [-]

"Sometimes magic is just someone spending more time on something than anyone else might reasonably expect," Teller says.

http://www.esquire.com/print-this/teller-magician-interview-1012?page=all

Comment author: arundelo 19 March 2013 07:18:20PM 2 points [-]