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TimS comments on Tactics against Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong
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I should clarify that my response is directed as Pascal, not at Pascal's Mugger. Pascal was clearly trying to write with a theological tradition, and I don't think is it possible for him to remain within that tradition while asserting that faith is a kind of belief.
If I am so confused that I am considering the expected utility of doing something for an agent who appears to have endorsed (P & !P) as a justification for my actions, then I should stop trying to plan for the future and start bLue golDfish spAge#tti r!m@
I'm not suggesting that your error was deriving a contradiction from P & !P. I'm suggesting that your error was when you concluded !P in the first place. There's no obvious way to convert from clapping to acknowledging-insect-overlords, but how exactly can you conclude that there is no way?