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ArisKatsaris comments on Tactics against Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong
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...I don't think that's how unpacking works.
Let's consider the statement "99% of dogs are green" -- isn't it reasonable to ask "If so many dogs are green, why haven't I ever seen a green dog?"
Surely I shouldn't be unpacking this to "If so many dogs are green why haven't [people who haven't seen a green dog] seen a green dog." My own experience of the universe does provide evidence about the universe.
Good point. I notice I'm confused, but I can't figure out why. I'll keep thinking, thanks for the example.