Decius comments on Buridan's ass and the psychological origins of objective probability - Less Wrong

1 Post author: common_law 30 March 2013 09:43AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (54)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Decius 05 April 2013 03:57:11PM 0 points [-]

You assign a disutility to spending time t further evaluating, and when the disutility of further evaluation is equal to the expected increase in utility of the selected bale (because one of them is/may be ε larger than the other), you select randomly between them.

If you adjust the disutility of marginal time t to increase with the total amount of time spent deciding, you break the deadlock condition which exists if you are uncertain about whether the disutility of spending more time evaluating is greater or less than the expected utility increase of spending more time evaluating the choice; if that return-on-investment is ever within ε of zero, then some time later it must be greater than ε less than zero (because the disutility of the time t will have increased by more than 2ε).