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dvasya comments on Open Thread, April 1-15, 2013 - Less Wrong
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Received word a few days ago that, (unofficially, pending several unresolved questions) my GJP performance is on track to make me eligible for "super forecaster" status (last year these were picked from the top 2%).
ETA, May 9th: received the official invitation.
Congratulations! I also received it (thanks not the least to your posts). I wonder how many other LWers participate and who else (if anybody) got their invitations.
I participate and was invited the first season to be a super-forecaster in the second. It is kind of a lot of work and I have been very busy, so I really quit doing anything about it at all pretty early on, but mysteriously have been invited to participate again in the third season.
We may find out a little about that; super-forecasters will form teams, so it's somewhat likely some of us will end up on the same team.
Congrats to the others too, anyway!
I participate (http://www.gwern.net/Prediction%20markets#iarpa-the-good-judgment-project); and haven't been invited. (While I stopped trying in season 2, my season 1 scores were merely great & not stellar enough to make it plausible that I could have made it.)