gwern comments on Fermi Estimates - Less Wrong

51 Post author: lukeprog 11 April 2013 05:52PM

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Comment author: lukeprog 06 April 2013 07:53:14PM 3 points [-]

Write down your own Fermi estimation attempts here. One Fermi estimate per comment, please!

Comment author: gwern 06 April 2013 10:13:31PM 4 points [-]

A running list of my own: http://www.gwern.net/Notes#fermi-calculations (And there's a number of them floating around predictionbook.com; Fermi-style loose reasoning is great for constraining predictions.)