RichardKennaway comments on Willing gamblers, spherical cows, and AIs - Less Wrong

15 Post author: ChrisHallquist 08 April 2013 09:30PM

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Comment author: RichardKennaway 09 April 2013 10:15:26AM 0 points [-]

Don't you think humans cross the street not because they've weighed the benefits versus the dangers, or some such, but because that's what they've been taught to do, and probability calculations be damned?

What they've been taught to do is weigh the benefits versus the dangers (although there are not necessarily any probability calculations gong on). The emphasis in teaching small children how to cross the road is mainly on the dangers, since those will invariably be of a vastly larger scale than the trifling benefit of saving a few seconds by not looking.

Comment author: Kawoomba 09 April 2013 10:33:18AM 1 point [-]

Does "Mommy told me to look for cars, or bad things happen" and "if I don't look before I cross, Mommy will punish me" count as weighing the benefits versus the dangers? If so, we agree.

I just wonder if the bet analogy is the most natural way of carving up reality, as it were.

Why did the rationalist cross the road? - He made a bet. (Badum-tish!)

Comment author: RichardKennaway 09 April 2013 10:45:55AM *  5 points [-]

Does "Mommy told me to look for cars, or bad things happen" and "if I don't look before I cross, Mommy will punish me" count as weighing the benefits versus the dangers?

Perhaps these things are done differently in different cultures. This is how it is done in the U.K. Notice the emphasis throughout on looking to see if it is safe, not on rules to obey because someone says so and punishment, which figures not at all.

The earlier "Kerb Drill" mentioned in that article was a set of rules: look right, look left, look right again, and if clear, cross. That is why it was superceded.