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army1987 comments on Explicit and tacit rationality - Less Wrong
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I come from the future. Do I try to compensate for hindsight bias, or do I abstain from answering the polls altogether?
Even after the 'crash', the equivalent figure is still like $50k and so the question remains germane. If you want to answer it, feel free. (The raw poll data includes timestamps, so if anyone thinks that answers after time X are corrupting the results, they can always drop such entries.)
Okay. I answered the questions except the first (per RomeoStevens) and the last (I'd expect people to be roughly equally split in that situation).
I'd think that the latter would result in less expected pollution.