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Daniel_Burfoot comments on Estimate Stability - Less Wrong
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Comments (15)
Given
a random variable with probability distribution 
, the probability distribution 
you will have about 
after time 
is a random variable in itself. It must satisfy 
.
The (un)stability parameter you are looking for sounds like ])
, where 
stands for Kullback–Leibler divergence. The meaning of this parameter is the expected number of bits of information about 
you will receive over period 
.
The first two sentences of this comment are a very good formal (re-) statement of the idea of Conservation of Expected Evidence.