latanius comments on Grad Student Advice Repository - Less Wrong
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Comments (55)
Do you know of a way for estimating this? Every research problem (and the entire PhD itself) might look much easier before you start working on it (you don't have an outside view perspective before starting).
Nothing is guaranteed, but a good adviser and good personal focus should allow you to finish it off.
Again, no guaranteed answers, but if a given problem is too big, you can redefine your thesis to a narrower part of the problem.