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PhilGoetz comments on Pascal's Muggle: Infinitesimal Priors and Strong Evidence - Less Wrong
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Just a digression that has no bearing on the main point of the post:
The probability that we're in a simulation, times the number of expected Matrix Lords at one moment per simulation, divided by population, should be a lower bound on that probability. I would think it would be at least 1 / population.
I expect far less than 1 Matrix Lord per simulated population. I expect the vast majority of simulations are within UFAIs trying to gain certain types of information through veridical simulation, no Matrix Lords there.