OrphanWilde comments on Being Half-Rational About Pascal's Wager is Even Worse - Less Wrong
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Comments (168)
Isn't Fermi the guy who insisted that a nuclear reaction could set the atmosphere on fire in a massive nuclear reaction?
I'm having trouble making sense of the quoted section. It makes a lot more sense if that's what they're talking about, especially the "if it means that we may die of it," rather than the possibility of a nuclear reaction in general.
That was Teller. And I think it was more "raised the possibility" than "insisted."
Not as far as I know. This was considered technically even though it seemed obviously false on its face, assigned an even lower credence afterward, and then it didn't in fact turn out to be true.