Larks comments on Minor, perspective changing facts - Less Wrong

38 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 22 April 2013 07:01PM

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Comment author: Larks 23 April 2013 10:12:19PM 3 points [-]

Rating agencies have historically actually been very good at predicting corporate defaults.

I have data on this but it is not public. However, I suspect there is public data available as well.

Comment author: RomeoStevens 24 April 2013 08:39:32AM * 3 points [-]

Please tell me that this is currently poorly priced into the market for mysterious reasons. I would like some free money.

Comment author: Metus 24 April 2013 09:33:58AM 0 points [-]

I saw a list at wikipedia somewhere. I wonder if it is already priced in.