paper-machine comments on New report: Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics - Less Wrong

45 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 29 April 2013 11:14PM

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Comment author: satt 30 April 2013 12:02:17AM *  7 points [-]

- log(n) + log(log(n)) + ... seems to describe well the current rate of scientific progress, at least in high-energy physics

I'm going to commit pedantry: nesting enough logarithms eventually gives an undefined term (unless n's complex!). So where Eliezer says "the sequence log(w) + log(log(w)) + log(log(log(w))) will converge very quickly" (p. 4), that seems wrong, although I see what he's getting at.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 April 2013 12:17:17AM *  8 points [-]

It really bothers me that he calls it a sequence instead of a series (maybe he means the sequence of partial sums?), and that it's not written correctly.

The series doesn't converge because log(w) doesn't have a fixed point at zero.

It makes sense if you replace log(w) with log^+(w) = max{ log(w), 0 }, which is sometimes written as log(w) in computer science papers where the behavior on (0, 1] is irrelevant.

I suppose that amounts to assuming there's some threshold of cognitive work under which no gains in performance can be made, which seems reasonable.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 May 2013 01:29:22AM 0 points [-]

Now fixed, I hope.

Comment author: [deleted] 05 May 2013 04:22:12AM 0 points [-]

Oh yes. That makes far more sense. Thanks for fixing it.