Buffalo-area Less Wrong meetups on the first Sunday and Third Thursday of every month, in 31 Capen Hall at the University at Buffalo - North Campus.

Hey Guys, Today we'll try some practice with Fermi Estimates. Primary Purpose: Sometimes you will have to make decisions without perfect data and having a way to get a decent ballpark approximation can be good enough to help you decide. Secondary Goal: Keep track of how confident we are in our predictions so that we can make our confidence match more closely with our true accuracy.