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James_Miller comments on Rationality Quotes May 2013 - Less Wrong
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Discussing the "Near-miss bias" which they define as a tendency to "take more risk after an event in which luck played a critical role in deciding the event's [favorable] outcome."
Top Dog: The Science of Winning and Losing by Po Bronson and Ashley Merryman, page 150.
There wouldn't happen to be anything that's sort of the opposite of this, would there? Screwing up often but sporadically, not due to inherent inability but because of simple inexpertise, making you say "I'm bad at this" more often?
Interesting. I wonder to what extent this corrects for people's risk-aversion. Success is evidence against the riskiness of the action.