ciphergoth comments on Rationality Quotes May 2013 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: katydee 03 May 2013 08:02PM

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Comment author: wedrifid 03 May 2013 01:03:30PM 7 points [-]

it is often better to pull numbers out of your arse and use them to make a decision, than to pull a decision out of your arse.

How often? I can imagine this heuristic being better or worse depending on the details of which figures are chosen and how the are used.

Comment author: ciphergoth 05 May 2013 08:00:54AM 1 point [-]

There's some good discussion in Thinking, Fast and Slow about when intuition works well.