Randaly comments on Justifiable Erroneous Scientific Pessimism - Less Wrong
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Comments (116)
The claim that the Sun revolves around the Earth. If the Earth revolved around the Sun, there would have been a parallax in the observations of stars from different positions in the orbit. There was no observable parallax, so Earth probably didn't revolve around the Sun.
*there would have been a parallax given assumptions at the time regarding the distance of the stars.
I've wondered though: if there were no planets besides Earth would we have persisted as geocentrists until the 19th century?
If there were no celestial bodies but Earth and the sun, we would have been just as correct as heliocentrists.
I don't think that's right.
The center of mass for the Earth-sun system is inside the sun; so, yeah, the heliocentrists wouldn't be "just as correct".
If the two masses were equal, then Earth and Sun would orbit a point that was equidistant to them; and in that scenario heliocentrists and geocentrists would be equally wrong....
Why privilege the center of mass as the reference point? Do we need to find the densest concentration of mass in the known universe to determine what we call the punctum fixum and what we call the punctum mobile?
As far as I can tell, most of the local universe revolves around me. That may be a common human misconception, seeing as I'm not a black hole, if we only go by centers of mass. But do we have to?
(Also, "densest concentration of mass" would probably be in the bible belt.)
I think the center of mass thing is a bit of a red herring here. While velocity and position are all relative, rotation is absolute. You can determine if you're spinning without reference to the outside world. For example, imagine a space station you spin for "gravity". You can tell how fast it's spinning without looking outside by measuring how much gravity there is.
You can work in earth-stationary coordinates, there will just be some annoying odd terms in your math as a result (it's a non-inertial reference frame).
Technically, no you can't. Per EY's points on Mach's principle, spinning yourself around (with the resulting apparent movement of stars and feeling of centrifugal stresses) is observationally equivalent to the rest of the universe conspiring to rotate around you oppositely.
The c.g. of the earth/sun solar system would likewise lack a privileged position in such a world.
Is that correct? Spinning implies rotation implies acceleration, which I'd always thought could be detected without external reference points.
Without taking a stance on Mach's principle or that specific question of observational equivalence, what about a spinning body in an otherwise empty universe? As an extreme example, my own body could spin only so fast before tearing itself apart. Surely this holds even if I'm floating in an otherwise utterly empty universe?
This is addressed later in the article, very well IMHO. Let me just give the relevant excerpts:
I agree that it's at least quite plausible (as per your post, it's not proven to follow from GR) that if the universe spun around you, it might be exactly the same as if you were spinning. However, if there's no background at all, then I'm pretty sure the predictions of GR are unambiguous. If there's no preferred rotation, then what do you predict to happen when you spin newton's bucket at different rates relative to each other?
EDIT: Also, although now I'm getting a bit out of my league, I believe that even in the massive external rotating shell case, the effect is miniscule.
EDIT 2: See this comment.
Are you sure you linked the right comment? That's just someone talking about centripetal vs centrifugal.
I thought that parallax argument was applied to the stars, not the Sun?
Yeah, that's what I meant. (No parallax in star observations -> the Earth isn't moving -> the Sun is revolving around the Earth.)
That's a justifiable error, but I don't see how it's pessimistic.
"Pessimistic" is a loaded term and I'm not sure if it's all that useful in the context of this discussion in the first place.
It's crucial to the original point that Eliezer was making, which was differentiating technological pessimism from technological optimism.
This isn't technology, and though it makes a difference to the universe as a whole, it wouldn't be better or worse for us either way.