DanielLC comments on Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People - Less Wrong
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Comments (79)
If you gave him almost anything else that complex, it actually would be false. Once something gets even moderately complex, there is a huge number of other things that complex.
Technically, he should figure that there's just a one in 10^somethingorother chance that it's true, but you can't remember all 10^somethingorother things that are that unlikely, so you're best off to reject it.