Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

RobinZ comments on Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People - Less Wrong

71 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 April 2007 06:01PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (79)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: RobinZ 21 August 2012 04:16:18PM 2 points [-]

Worse for making predictions, I suppose.

Oh, it's less general than that - it's worse for political forecasting specifically. Other kinds of prediction (e.g. will this box fit under this table?), thinking for yourself is often one of the better options.

But, you know, political forecasting is one of the things we often care about. So knowing rules of thumb like "trust the experts, but not very much" is quite helpful.