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MarsColony_in10years comments on Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People - Less Wrong

70 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 April 2007 06:01PM

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Comment author: MarsColony_in10years 30 March 2015 08:42:02AM 0 points [-]

Fantastic article. The problem is that now I have a pet theory with which to dismiss anything said by a TV pundit with whom I disagree: I'd be better off guessing myself or at random than listening to them.

Maybe I can estimate how many variables various conclusions rest on, and how much uncertainty is in each, in order to estimate the total uncertainty in various possible outcomes. I'll have to pay special attention to any evidence that undercuts my beliefs and assumptions, to try to avoid confirmation bias.

Comment author: ChristianKl 30 March 2015 10:30:21AM 3 points [-]

Fantastic article. The problem is that now I have a pet theory with which to dismiss anything said by a TV pundit with whom I disagree: I'd be better off guessing myself or at random than listening to them.

That's great, stop watching TV. TV pundits are an awful source of information.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 30 March 2015 02:53:51PM 4 points [-]

stop watching TV

One of my past life decisions I consistently feel very happy about.

Comment author: Epictetus 30 March 2015 06:16:42PM 3 points [-]

The problem is that now I have a pet theory with which to dismiss anything said by a TV pundit with whom I disagree: I'd be better off guessing myself or at random than listening to them.

TV pundits are entertainers. They're hired less for their insightful commentary and more for their ability to engage an audience.