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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People - Less Wrong

71 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 April 2007 06:01PM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 07 April 2007 02:54:55AM 0 points [-]

Pdf, maybe you're referring to "I Don't Know"?

Rooney, I think you're interpreting "reject" as "state with certainty that it is not true" or "behave as if there is definite evidence against it". Whereas what I mean is that one should bet at odds that are tiny or even infinitesimal when dealing with an evidentially unsupported belief in a very large search space. You have no choice but to deal this way with the vast majority of such beliefs if you want your total probabilities to sum to 1.