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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on The Robots, AI, and Unemployment Anti-FAQ - Less Wrong
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Well, if it has the ability to clean a bathroom, similar systems could cook, clean, drive, construct, do pretty much any routine task—that sounds like a lot of jobs to me. Now, could a lizard-level intelligence clean a randomly chosen bathroom? Said robot would have to have a lot of common sense notions of how to treat objects, very good visual perception, proprioception, and object classification, even the ability to use tools. That sounds more around higher mammel intelligence to me. As I haven’t spent my life studying AI, I’m perfectly willing to replace my opinion on this with your own, but I’m having trouble seeing how cleaning a randomly-chosen bathroom is a lizard-level task.
Hm. My previous sentence is on reflection incorrect; considering the number of jobs that could potentially be replaced by 'clean a bachelor pad' level intelligence, we would be looking at a potential disemployment shock that would be considered large in the US. Not a complete disemployment shock, but it would probably qualify as 'mass unemployment' if reemployment failed.