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Lumifer comments on The Robots, AI, and Unemployment Anti-FAQ - Less Wrong
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Driving is considerably more complex than cleaning a bathroom, primarily because you need to interact with a large number of humans whose mental state ranges from fairly rational to OMGWTF.
Yes, but in context there are still a fairly limited number of things that they can do--stop, reverse, speed up, slow down, change direction, etc.--even if it is hard to predict which and when they will do so.
I'd wager that Lumifer comes from a place where drivers are much crazier than where you come from. There are huge differences in stuff like that from city to city.
Yes, but are there differences beyond "change in acceleration"? (given acceleration as a vector).
Just because you can measure something with three real numbers doesn't mean that their prior probability distribution isn't all over the place.
Nope. I'm talking about humans, not drivers.
That involves pedestrians, people on bicycles and skateboards, kids playing ball near the street, panhandlers who want to wash your windshield, etc. etc.