What exponent is on the number of things that humans can do, generalized to the degree of "drive cars"?
Hm, tough question. One way to get a quick lower bound might be "what's something that uses the same general skills as driving cars, but is very different, and in how many ways is it different?" So if we use the same spatial skills to do knitting, and we say it's different from driving in a car in about 10 ways (where what we consider a "way" sets our scale), then there are at least 2^10 things that use the same skills as, but are different from, knitting and driving cars (among other bad assumptions, this assumes that two things bein...
OK, so it covers only a few human occupations:
But the list is steadily growing.
Now, connect it with a self-driving AI, and your cab e-driver can make small talk, advise on a suspicious skin lesion, evaluate your investment portfolio and help you fix an issue with your smartphone, all while cheaply and efficiently getting you to your destination.
How long until it can evaluate verbal or written customer requirements and write better routine software than your average programmer?