Decius comments on Robustness of Cost-Effectiveness Estimates and Philanthropy - Less Wrong

37 Post author: JonahSinick 24 May 2013 08:28PM

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Comment author: Decius 29 May 2013 03:09:29AM 0 points [-]

That will tell you that you shouldn't expect to spend more to save one life than estimated from the top charity; it might even tell you that the expected cost of the top rated charity is higher than the estimated cost from the next-ranked charity.

Without a reason to believe that the accuracy of the estimate for the lower-ranked charity is greater, you can't conclude that the expected cost of the higher-ranked charity is greater than the expected cost of the lower-ranked charity.