Unknowns comments on ...so did we now get cold fusion to work or what? - Less Wrong

-10 Post author: Friendly-HI 25 May 2013 01:09PM

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Comment author: Unknowns 30 May 2013 07:43:18PM 1 point [-]

I agree with you about Rossi.

However, if someone makes the perpetual motion claim, unless you update your probability that they are worth taking seriously to 0%, you should also update your probability of the perpetual motion machine.

Comment author: bogdanb 30 May 2013 10:00:47PM 1 point [-]

I don’t need to estimate “worth taking seriously” to 0, just “too low to bother”. (E.g., the update to my “perpetual motion machin probability” would be lower than the margin of error of my estimates.)

Comment author: shminux 30 May 2013 08:10:55PM 0 points [-]

If you do, then you are prone to a version of the Pascal mugging attack: given enough false claims, you start taking them seriously.