tgb comments on [LINK] Sign up for DAGGRE to improve science and technology forecasting - Less Wrong

3 Post author: Qiaochu_Yuan 26 May 2013 12:08AM

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Comment author: tgb 26 May 2013 11:30:11PM 2 points [-]

You also get entered into a drawing for $50 Amazon gift certificates based on activity (not based on performance - they're don't want to touch gambling regulations). I have gotten 2 this twice now with pretty low activity, which is nice.

The current and previous questions were focused on geo-political predictions which proved to be a surprisingly interesting to someone who doesn't really follow the news to closely. It provides a nice alternative way of learning about the world other than headlines - each question is a mini research project to quickly learn about the developments of North Korea's multistage rocket program or the likelihood of US increasing certain sanctions.

Comment author: ctwardy 30 May 2013 12:33:13PM 2 points [-]

NB: we've been told we won't be able to pay people on the new S&T market. The required scale (1,000 to 10,000 active forecasters) means it would have been a small percentage of participants anyway.