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Gunnar_Zarncke comments on Luck I: Finding White Swans - Less Wrong
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That sound like you found a risk-aversive way of applying these rules. I don't generally think that expecting the worst is a bad strategy. But that doesn't preclude from making the best out of it.
Also, genuinely random health stuff has a lot to do with it. Prioritizing networking and changing routines does help relative to what it'd have been otherwise, but environmental constraints still keep the absolute effect below human average.