army1987 comments on Luck I: Finding White Swans - Less Wrong
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But but but... Opportunity costs, anyone? I can only be friends with so many people, and a random stranger isn't particularly likely to be one of the people it'd be most worth it to be friends with. Wouldn't I be better off focusing on people I already know are awesome, and people I am introduced to?
This assumes you are good at detecting awesomeness, and are the sort of person that gets introduced to people.
I would hazard to guess that many 'unlucky' people have neither. (In fact, I would hazard to guess that many 'unlucky' people simply don't have a good social network or a good way to establish one, and lucky people are already following your protocol, leading to a strong Matthew effect).
Good point, but it's only really a problem if you're investing even resources in all your friends. For the vast majority of my friends and family, I keep in touch with Facebook, which makes the opportunity cost of keeping everyone updated on my life (and vice versa) near zero. For a handful of people who are above-average awesome I make the extra effort of skyping or visiting them in person.