fowlertm comments on Luck I: Finding White Swans - Less Wrong

25 Post author: fowlertm 12 December 2013 05:56PM

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Comment author: fowlertm 14 December 2013 09:57:34PM 3 points [-]

Okay, but it's not like he just let the people into the study, gave them a questionnaire, and called it a day. He performed a battery of interviews and experiments with them which showed a consistent set of traits and habits, even going as far as to tape them doing mundane tasks like waiting in a coffee shop (which I discussed). Yes, it could be the case that the extraversion, orientation toward novelty, etc. are mere artifacts and all the lucky people were just the beneficiaries of being in the thin part of the bell curve -- but then, Dr. Wiseman also trained 'unlucky' people in these and related skills and was able to get them to improve their self-reported luck.

Comment author: Lumifer 15 December 2013 12:46:08AM 2 points [-]

He performed a battery of interviews and experiments with them which showed a consistent set of traits and habits

Correct, so he picked two sets and was quite selective about it. He picked people which acted differently from the very start.