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Stuart_Armstrong comments on Other prespective on resolving the Prisoner's dilemma - Less Wrong
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Yes. I model "unlikely" as "I likely live in a universe where these outcomes are impossible", but that's just an unimportant different in perspective.
What do you mean by "impossible"? If you mean highly unlikely, then you're using recursive probability, which doesn't make a whole lot of sense. If you mean against the laws of physics, then it's false. If you mean that it won't happen, then it's just a longer way of saying that those outcomes are unlikely.
it's just a longer way of saying that those outcomes are unlikely.