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wubbles comments on Will the world's elites navigate the creation of AI just fine? - Less Wrong
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Things were a lot worse then everyone knew: Russia almost invaded Yugoslavia, which would have triggered a war according to newly declassified NSA journals, in the 1950's. The Cuban Missile Crisis could easily have gone hot, and several times early warning systems were triggered by accident. Of course, estimating what could have happened is quite hard.
I agree that there were close calls. Nevertheless, things turned out better than I would have guessed, and indeed, probably better than a large fraction of military and civilian people would have guessed.
World war three seems certain to significantly decrease human population. From my point of view, I can't eliminate anthropic reasoning for why there wasn't such a war before I was born.