RolfAndreassen comments on Rationality Quotes June 2013 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: Thomas 03 June 2013 03:08AM

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Comment author: RolfAndreassen 03 June 2013 04:42:02AM 1 point [-]

Error bars usually indicate a Gaussian distribution, not a flat one. If you said P=0.4 +- 0.03, that indicates that your probability of the final probability estimate ending up outside the 0.3-0.5 range is less than a percent. This seems to meet your requirements.

If that doesn't suffice, it seems that you need a full probability distribution, specifying the probability of every P-value.