timtyler comments on To reduce astronomical waste: take your time, then go very fast - Less Wrong

46 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 13 July 2013 04:41PM

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Comment author: timtyler 13 July 2013 12:35:59AM *  3 points [-]

So, in conclusion: To efficiently colonise the universe, take your time. Do research. Think things over. Go to the pub. Saunter like an Egyptian. Write long letters to mum. Complain about the immorality of the youth of today. Watch dry paint stay dry.

Unless you are in competition with others - which most modern agents currently are. Then the optimal strategy is quite different. Thus The Perils of Precaution.

Comment author: Decius 13 July 2013 03:11:50AM 2 points [-]

Only if the modern agents have a chance to kill you first.

Getting a small boost in speed gets your colonizers to distant destinations first anyway. I'm reminded of any of several science-fiction stories where a slower colony ship is overtaken by a faster one.

Comment author: timtyler 13 July 2013 10:52:38AM 1 point [-]

Only if the modern agents have a chance to kill you first.

...or out-reproduce you. Both of which are commonplace occurrences in the real world.

Comment author: Decius 13 July 2013 09:27:33PM 4 points [-]

Either way, the competition has to be local enough to stop you while you are still in the 'thinking' phase. It also doesn't do any good to launch a .95c shell of expansion if they can come by a million years later and launch a .99c shell. (With those exact numbers, we beat them to locations within 40,000 LY and they beat us to all other locations).

However, the best of both worlds is theoretically possible; launching a set of colony ships now does not preclude launching a faster set later. The first colonists out should just be warned to anticipate that they might not be the first ones to arrive.