James_Miller comments on How can I strategically write a complex bestseller? (4HS001) - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Neotenic 12 June 2013 08:47AM

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Comment author: James_Miller 12 June 2013 01:02:07PM *  6 points [-]

writing for money is a waste of time. Most people would do better by getting a minimum wage job and spending their entire paycheck on lottery tickets.

Sarah Wynde

Comment author: Omid 12 June 2013 05:39:01PM 3 points [-]

The average DIY writer makes $10,000 year. A minimum wage job pays $14,500/yr assuming no work expenses. If lottery tickets return less than 70% of money you pay for them, then writing is indeed more lucrative.

Comment author: James_Miller 12 June 2013 06:06:46PM 0 points [-]

Say you have three writers, two earn zero and one earns $30,000 a year. Two of the three writers (most writers) would be better off "getting a minimum wage job and spending their entire paycheck on lottery tickets" than writing.

Comment author: Omid 12 June 2013 07:02:14PM 1 point [-]

It would depend on the variance of the lottery. But my first impression of the quote was that it was referring to high variance lotteries that offer the chance of becoming super rich, rather than low variance lotteries that can't make you rich but will usually return a portion of the money you spent.

At any rate, the survey found that about 1 in 10 authors earn enough money to live off writing alone. Those are tough odds, but nowhere near the 1 in 175,000,000 odds of winning the Powerball.

Comment author: Desrtopa 12 June 2013 03:59:57PM 3 points [-]

Most people are quite bad at writing, but also, most people working at minimum wage jobs are not getting paid to do something they enjoy.