Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on After critical event W happens, they still won't believe you - Less Wrong

37 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 13 June 2013 09:59PM

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Comment author: Carinthium 13 June 2013 10:25:03PM *  1 point [-]

Presumably the best you can do solution-wise is to try and move policy options through a series of "middle stages" towards either optimal results, or more likely the best result you can realistically get?

EDIT: Also- how DID the economists figure it out anyway? I would have thought that although circumstances can incease or reduce it inflationary effects would be inevitable if you increased the money supply that much.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 13 June 2013 10:30:07PM 4 points [-]

Demand for extremely safe assets increased (people wanted to hold more money), the same reason Treasury bonds briefly went to negative returns; demand for loans decreased and this caused destruction of money via the logic of fractional reserve banking; the shadow banking sector contracted so financial entities had to use money instead of collateral; etc.

Comment author: PeterDonis 02 March 2014 02:21:01AM *  0 points [-]

Sorry for the late comment but I'm just running across this thread.

demand for loans decreased and this caused destruction of money via the logic of fractional reserve banking

This is an interesting comment which I haven't seen talked about much on econblogs (or other sources of information about economics, for that matter). I understand the logic: fractional reserve banking is basically using loans as a money multiplier, so fewer loans means less multiplication, hence effectively less money supply. But it makes me wonder: what happens when the loan demand goes up again? Do you then have to reverse quantitative easing and effectively retire money to keep things in balance? Do any mainstream economists talk about that?