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gjm comments on Why do theists, undergrads, and Less Wrongers favor one-boxing on Newcomb? - Less Wrong
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How do you know?
Outside view it's the most plausible hypothesis (start by asking "who brought this question to the attention of LWers in the first place"...). It explains why LWers hold various other views as well (e.g. regarding many-worlds).
Oh, I agree it's plausible. But Tenoke didn't say "My guess is"; s/he stated, with what reads to me like great confidence and would-be authority, that that is the reason, and I'd like to know whether there's any justification for that beyond "seems like a plausible guess".
Yes, it is just a plausible guess..