The reader can draw his or her own conclusion from this. It seems likely to me that the average life in the developing world is worth living,
I don't ask this in the spirit of any disagreement (your post seems to me to be well reasoned), but just curiosity: what do you mean by 'worth living'? What sorts of things need to be present for a life to be worth living? Is it just that, say, my life is worth living if I would choose to live rather than painlessly die on a given day?
Someone might not find their own life worth living but still not commit suicide because e.g. they don't want their children to mourn them, they think that if they killed themselves they would go to hell whereas if they endured life they might eventually go to heaven, because there's no reliable way of committing suicide available to them, etc.
ISTR negative utilitarians claiming that that's the case for a sizeable fraction of people.
In my last post I wrote about how Peter Singer’s implicit past claim that [one can save a child’s life for the cost of a pair of shoes] is misleading.
Having said that, it’s important to highlight that if one ignores indirect effects, funding bed net distribution to save lives is an extremely good opportunity for people in the developed world to increase the number of valuable years of life that people experience.
The situation is probably completely different when one considers indirect effects. I’ll postpone discussion of indirect effects to a later date.
Consider the question of what the quality of life is in the developing world. The GiveWell blog post Quality of life in the developing world reads:
The reader can draw his or her own conclusion from this. It seems likely to me that the average life in the developing world is worth living, and that the value of an average year of life in the developing world is no more than 3x lower than the value of an average year of life in the developed world.
In my last post, I wrote about how the explicit estimate for Against Malaria Foundation’s marginal cost per life saved is $2k, and the fact that the actual cost could be significantly higher owing to Bayesian regression.
Note: I formerly worked as a research analyst at GiveWell. All views are my own.