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Sly comments on Why one-box? - Less Wrong
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Cool, sounds like we are converging.
I would be interested in seeing a RPS competition between programs, sounds interesting.
Unweighted random wins 1/3 of the time; nobody can do better than that versus unweighted random. The rules would have to account for that.
I saw a long time ago a website that would play RPS against you using a genetic algorithm; it had something like a 80% win rate against casual human players.