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gwern comments on [Link] Bets, Portfolios, and Belief Revelation - Less Wrong
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Intrade had a Higgs market. It wasn't hugely liquid, but it was probably better than finding individuals.
Fair enough, I chose my example badly; but with Intrade now shut down, we seem to be back to the dark ages of 2006 (ish? Not sure when Intrade started.)
Yeah, Intrade is not currently functioning... However on the bright side: Intrade's problems seem to be internal & financial, not criminal/legal, so it's possible it will resume trading; and with the rise of Bitcoin, new betting sites have been enabled and quasi-prediction-markets like http://betsofbitco.in/ are already functioning - they suck compared to Intrade, but people are aware of the market niche and we can hope for a new Bitcoin-based prediction market at some point in the near future.