moridinamael comments on Group Rationality Diary, July 1-15 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: therufs 03 July 2013 01:44AM

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Comment author: moridinamael 06 July 2013 09:42:34PM 6 points [-]

A friend of mine was flying into SFO this weekend to visit me. We carefully worked out the plan for how I would meet and pick him up, carefully factoring in the possibility that the BART strike would continue and transit would be restricted. We congratulated ourselves for establishing a totally watertight plan.

Of course, a different plane crashed on the SFO runway about an hour ago, so all incoming flights are being redirected to distant airports. Learned a valuable lesson - my predictions for worst-case scenarios are nowhere near pessimistic enough.