Qiaochu_Yuan comments on Evidential Decision Theory, Selection Bias, and Reference Classes - Less Wrong

19 Post author: Qiaochu_Yuan 08 July 2013 05:16AM

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Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 09 July 2013 09:33:12AM 0 points [-]

Ah. I guess we're not allowing EDT to make precommitments?

Comment author: AlexMennen 09 July 2013 03:19:42PM 2 points [-]

We don't usually let decision theories make precommitments. That's why CDT fails Newcomb's problem. I think CDT and EDT both converge to something like TDT/UDT when allowed to precommit as far in advance as desirable.

Comment author: endoself 09 July 2013 09:39:37AM *  2 points [-]

If you want to change what you want, then you've decided that your first-orded preferences were bad. EDT recognizing that it can replace itself with a better decision theory is not the same as it getting the answer right; the thing that makes the decision is not EDT anymore.